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Creators/Authors contains: "Burakowski, Elizabeth A."

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  1. null (Ed.)
  2. Abstract. We present a simple method that allows snow depth measurements tobe converted to snow water equivalent (SWE) estimates. These estimates areuseful to individuals interested in water resources, ecological function,and avalanche forecasting. They can also be assimilated into models to helpimprove predictions of total water volumes over large regions. Theconversion of depth to SWE is particularly valuable since snow depthmeasurements are far more numerous than costlier and more complex SWEmeasurements. Our model regresses SWE against snow depth (h), day of wateryear (DOY) and climatological (30-year normal) values for winter (December,January, February) precipitation (PPTWT), and the difference (TD) between meantemperature of the warmest month and mean temperature of the coldest month,producing a power-law relationship. Relying on climatological normals ratherthan weather data for a given year allows our model to be applied atmeasurement sites lacking a weather station. Separate equations are obtainedfor the accumulation and the ablation phases of the snowpack. The model isvalidated against a large database of snow pillow measurements and yields abias in SWE of less than 2 mm and a root-mean-squared error (RMSE) in SWE ofless than 60 mm. The model is additionally validated against two completelyindependent sets of data: one from western North America and one from thenortheastern United States. Finally, the results are compared with three othermodels for bulk density that have varying degrees of complexity and thatwere built in multiple geographic regions. The results show that the modeldescribed in this paper has the best performance for the validation datasets. 
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  3. Abstract

    Northern temperate ecosystems are experiencing warmer and more variable winters, trends that are expected to continue into the foreseeable future. Despite this, most studies have focused on climate change impacts during the growing season, particularly when comparing responses across different vegetation cover types. Here we examined how a perennial grassland and adjacent mixed forest ecosystem in New Hampshire, United States, responded to a period of highly variable winters from 2014 through 2017 that included the warmest winter on record to date. In the grassland, record‐breaking temperatures in the winter of 2015/2016 led to a February onset of plant growth and the ecosystem became a sustained carbon sink well before winter ended, taking up roughly 90 g/m2more carbon during the winter to spring transition than in other recorded years. The forest was an unusually large carbon source during the same period. While forest photosynthesis was restricted by leaf‐out phenology, warm winter temperatures caused large pulses of ecosystem respiration that released nearly 230 g C/m2from February through April, more than double the carbon losses during that period in cooler years. These findings suggest that, as winters continue to warm, increases in ecosystem respiration outside the growing season could outpace increases in carbon uptake during a longer growing season, particularly in forests that depend on leaf‐out timing to initiate carbon uptake. In ecosystems with a perennial leaf habit, warming winter temperatures are more likely to increase ecosystem carbon uptake through extension of the active growing season. Our results highlight the importance of understanding relationships among antecedent winter conditions and carbon exchange across land‐cover types to understand how landscape carbon exchange will change under projected climate warming.

     
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